TrendPronostici — Analisi incontro

Wales · Premier League · 2026/27 06/11/2026 · 20:45 Programmata

Haverfordwest County AFC Casa

VS Bridge Meadow Stadium

Cardiff MET Ospite

Haverfordwest County AFCultime 8 registrate

P P P V V N V P

1,25 punti/gara 0,88 gol fatti 1,00 gol subiti

Cardiff METultime 8 registrate

V V N P N N V V

1,88 punti/gara 1,88 gol fatti 0,75 gol subiti

Predizione locale

Segnali statistici principali

Partita equilibrata · nessun favorito 1X2 Nessun segnale netto. Qualita dei dati insufficiente. Accordo modelli 90,2%. Le percentuali sono mostrate come scenari, non come pronostico.

3 segnali selezionati da 147 mercati calcolati. Sono esclusi eventi quasi certi, duplicati e linee estreme che non aggiungono valore all'analisi.

Esito finale 1 · Vittoria casa Storico combinato 50,9% · 112 rilevazioni

39,5%

Esito finale 2 · Vittoria ospite Storico combinato 34,8% · 112 rilevazioni

39,6%

Esito finale X · Pareggio Storico combinato 14,3% · 112 rilevazioni

20,9%

Controllo modelli

Confronto 1X2

Come nasce la previsione

Poisson + Elo → Ensemble

90,2% accordo Poisson–Elo

Poissongol attesi e distribuzione dei risultati + Eloforza relativa e vantaggio del campo → Ensembleprobabilità finale calibrata

Pesi statistici di partenza: Poisson 60% · Elo 40%. La calibrazione adattiva può ritararli usando le prestazioni storiche disponibili.

Poisson modello sorgente

134,4% X24,3% 241,2%

Elo modello sorgente

142,4% X14,6% 243,0%

Ensemble stima calibrata non pubblicata

139,5% X20,9% 239,6%

Modello locale	1	X	2	Verdetto	Sintesi
Dixon_coles_challenger	32,4%	28,4%	39,2%	—	Calcolo matematico locale
Elo	42,4%	14,6%	43,0%	—	Calcolo matematico locale
Ensemble	39,5%	20,9%	39,6%	—	Calcolo matematico locale
Goal_engine	34,5%	24,3%	41,2%	—	Calcolo matematico locale
Lightgbm_market_aware	19,1%	42,2%	38,7%	—	Calcolo matematico locale
Lightgbm_no_market	19,1%	42,2%	38,7%	—	Calcolo matematico locale
Poisson	34,4%	24,3%	41,2%	—	Calcolo matematico locale
Xgboost_market_aware	20,6%	42,5%	36,9%	—	Calcolo matematico locale
Xgboost_no_market	20,6%	42,5%	36,9%	—	Calcolo matematico locale

Forma recente

Ultimi risultati

Risultati ufficiali importati, ordinati dal più recente.

Haverfordwest County AFC

P 03/10/2026Haverfordwest County AFC 0–1 Flint Town United P 29/09/2026Cardiff MET 1–0 Haverfordwest County AFC P 26/09/2026Colwyn Bay 1–0 Haverfordwest County AFC V 18/09/2026Haverfordwest County AFC 1–0 Holywell V 11/09/2026Haverfordwest County AFC 3–1 Briton Ferry N 04/09/2026GAP Connah S Quay FC 1–1 Haverfordwest County AFC V 31/08/2026Haverfordwest County AFC 2–1 Trefelin P 28/08/2026Llandudno 2–0 Haverfordwest County AFC

Cardiff MET

V 03/10/2026Llandudno 0–1 Cardiff MET V 29/09/2026Cardiff MET 1–0 Haverfordwest County AFC N 26/09/2026Cardiff MET 2–2 Caernarfon Town P 18/09/2026GAP Connah S Quay FC 1–0 Cardiff MET N 11/09/2026Flint Town United 1–1 Cardiff MET N 04/09/2026Cardiff MET 2–2 Cambrian & Clydach V 31/08/2026Ammanford AFC 0–5 Cardiff MET V 28/08/2026Cardiff MET 3–0 Briton Ferry

Precedenti

Scontri diretti

Data	Casa	Ospite
29/09/2026	1	0

Contesto competitivo

Calendario e classifica

Posizione corrente e calendario stagionale delle due squadre.

Calendario delle squadre

G.	Data	Partita	Ris.
1	01/08	Haverfordwest County AFC – Airbus UK	0–1
1	01/08	Cardiff MET – Holywell	6–1
2	07/08	Airbus UK – Cardiff MET	0–2
2	07/08	The New Saints – Haverfordwest County AFC	2–0
3	14/08	Haverfordwest County AFC – Penybont	0–3
3	15/08	Barry Town – Cardiff MET	1–0
4	21/08	Cardiff MET – The New Saints	0–5
4	21/08	Haverfordwest County AFC – Cambrian & Clydach	0–3
5	28/08	Cardiff MET – Briton Ferry	3–0
5	28/08	Llandudno – Haverfordwest County AFC	2–0
6	31/08	Ammanford AFC – Cardiff MET	0–5
6	31/08	Haverfordwest County AFC – Trefelin	2–1
7	04/09	Cardiff MET – Cambrian & Clydach	2–2
7	04/09	GAP Connah S Quay FC – Haverfordwest County AFC	1–1
8	11/09	Haverfordwest County AFC – Briton Ferry	3–1
8	11/09	Flint Town United – Cardiff MET	1–1
10	18/09	GAP Connah S Quay FC – Cardiff MET	1–0
10	18/09	Haverfordwest County AFC – Holywell	1–0
11	26/09	Cardiff MET – Caernarfon Town	2–2
11	26/09	Colwyn Bay – Haverfordwest County AFC	1–0
9	29/09	Cardiff MET – Haverfordwest County AFC	1–0
12	03/10	Llandudno – Cardiff MET	0–1
12	03/10	Haverfordwest County AFC – Flint Town United	0–1
13	09/10	Cardiff MET – Trefelin	—
13	09/10	Haverfordwest County AFC – Caernarfon Town	—
14	23/10	Colwyn Bay – Cardiff MET	—
14	24/10	Barry Town – Haverfordwest County AFC	—
15	30/10	Ammanford AFC – Haverfordwest County AFC	—
15	31/10	Cardiff MET – Penybont	—
16	06/11	Haverfordwest County AFC – Cardiff MET	—
17	20/11	Penybont – Haverfordwest County AFC	—
17	20/11	Cardiff MET – Ammanford AFC	—
18	27/11	Cardiff MET – Airbus UK	—
18	27/11	Haverfordwest County AFC – GAP Connah S Quay FC	—
19	05/12	Caernarfon Town – Haverfordwest County AFC	—
19	05/12	Trefelin – Cardiff MET	—
20	18/12	Cardiff MET – GAP Connah S Quay FC	—
20	19/12	Cambrian & Clydach – Haverfordwest County AFC	—
21	26/12	Haverfordwest County AFC – Ammanford AFC	—
21	26/12	Cambrian & Clydach – Cardiff MET	—
22	31/12	Cardiff MET – Barry Town	—
22	01/01	Briton Ferry – Haverfordwest County AFC	—
23	22/01	Caernarfon Town – Cardiff MET	—
23	22/01	Haverfordwest County AFC – The New Saints	—
24	05/02	The New Saints – Cardiff MET	—
24	05/02	Flint Town United – Haverfordwest County AFC	—
25	12/02	Cardiff MET – Flint Town United	—
25	12/02	Trefelin – Haverfordwest County AFC	—
26	19/02	Haverfordwest County AFC – Llandudno	—
26	19/02	Briton Ferry – Cardiff MET	—
27	26/02	Cardiff MET – Colwyn Bay	—
27	26/02	Airbus UK – Haverfordwest County AFC	—
28	12/03	Haverfordwest County AFC – Barry Town	—
28	12/03	Holywell – Cardiff MET	—
29	19/03	Penybont – Cardiff MET	—
29	19/03	Haverfordwest County AFC – Colwyn Bay	—
30	26/03	Cardiff MET – Llandudno	—
30	26/03	Holywell – Haverfordwest County AFC	—

Classifica corrente

#	Squadra	PG	DR	Pt
1	The New Saints	12	33	34
2	GAP Connah S Quay FC	12	20	28
3	Penybont	12	12	27
4	Barry Town	12	7	25
5	Caernarfon Town	12	21	23
6	Colwyn Bay	12	6	22
7	Cardiff MET	12	10	21
8	Airbus UK	12	4	18
9	Cambrian & Clydach	12	-11	18
10	Llandudno	12	2	16
11	Briton Ferry	12	-9	12
12	Haverfordwest County AFC	12	-10	10
13	Flint Town United	12	-12	8
14	Ammanford AFC	12	-23	6
15	Trefelin	12	-25	3
16	Holywell	12	-25	2

Trend longitudinali

Rendimento nelle stagioni

Indicatori calcolati sulle partite concluse e andamento del rating Elo.

Haverfordwest County AFC

20264 partite

Punti/partita2,25

Gol fatti/partita2,75

Vittorie75,0%

Over 2.575,0%

Goal25,0%

2026/2712 partite

Punti/partita0,83

Gol fatti/partita0,58

Vittorie25,0%

Over 2.533,3%

Goal25,0%

Cardiff MET

2026/2712 partite

Punti/partita1,75

Gol fatti/partita1,92

Vittorie50,0%

Over 2.550,0%

Goal33,3%

Andamento rating Elo

Aggiornato dal batch locale

Haverfordwest County AFCCardiff MET

Segnali statistici principali

Confronto 1X2

Poisson + Elo → Ensemble

Ultimi risultati

Haverfordwest County AFC

Cardiff MET

Scontri diretti

Calendario e classifica

Calendario delle squadre

Classifica corrente

Rendimento nelle stagioni

Haverfordwest County AFC

Cardiff MET

Andamento rating Elo

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